Indian Land Carbon Sink Estimated from Surface and GOSAT Observations

Abstract

The carbon sink over land plays a key role in the mitigation of climate change by removing carbon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere. Accurately assessing the land sink capacity across regions should contribute to better future climate projections and help guide the mitigation of global emissions towards the Paris Agreement. This study estimates terrestrial CO2 fluxes over India using a high-resolution global inverse model that assimilates surface observations from the global observation network and the Indian subcontinent, airborne sampling from Brazil, and data from the Greenhouse gas Observing SATellite (GOSAT) satellite. The inverse model optimizes terrestrial biosphere fluxes and ocean-atmosphere CO2 exchanges independently, and it obtains CO2 fluxes over large land and ocean regions that are comparable to a multi-model estimate from a previous model intercomparison study. The sensitivity of optimized fluxes to the weights of the GOSAT satellite data and regional surface station data in the inverse calculations is also examined. It was found that the carbon sink over the South Asian region is reduced when the weight of the GOSAT data is reduced along with a stricter data filtering. Over India, our result shows a carbon sink of 0.040 ± 0.133 PgC yr−1 using both GOSAT and global surface data, while the sink increases to 0.147 ± 0.094 PgC yr−1 by adding data from the Indian subcontinent. This demonstrates that surface observations from the Indian subcontinent provide a significant additional constraint on the flux estimates, suggesting an increased sink over the region. Thus, this study highlights the importance of Indian sub-continental measurements in estimating the terrestrial CO2 fluxes over India. Additionally, the findings suggest that obtaining robust estimates solely using the GOSAT satellite data could be challenging since the GOSAT satellite data yield significantly varies over seasons, particularly with increased rain and cloud frequency.